Daily Archives: April 30, 2009

Bruce Kauffmann A Saudi Royal Talks About Oil … Independence

It’s not often that a member of the Saudi royal family agrees with me, but in January I posted a blog that said “energy independence” wasn’t feasible and claiming America could achieve it wasn’t desirable.  And now Saudi Prince Turki al-Faisal, a former Saudi ambassador to Washington DC, has told editors and reporters at The Washington Times the exact same thing.

“Politicians, when they do that (claim energy independence is achievable), I think they are misleading their publics,” Prince Turki said.

090429pullquote A Saudi Royal Talks About Oil … Independence

He is right, and while many people will think Prince Turki is being self serving – the Saudis are, after all, the world’s largest oil producers – the fact is that the American public would not stand for the energy price increases that would result if we somehow managed to quickly wean ourselves off of oil or natural gas imports and relied on renewable energy as our dominant energy supply source.  Currently renewable energies such as wind and solar – which are far more expensive than the three major fossil fuels, coal, oil and natural gas – meet about 2 percent of our domestic energy needs.

But the larger point is that energy independence is the wrong goal.  Energy security is the proper goal and to achieve that we need more, not less, diversity of supply.  That means we need as many kinds of energy supplies as possible, including more liquefied natural gas (LNG), and we need as many suppliers as possible.  In other words, to achieve energy security, we need to establish a global energy industry in which as many buyers interact with as many sellers as possible.

Another problem is that when our politicians talk about achieving “energy independence,” it isn’t just the public they mislead.  It is also the suppliers. In an interview with American Gas magazine, global energy expert and Pulitzer Prize-winning author Daniel Yergin points out that, on the one hand our political leaders continually encourage energy producers such as the Saudis to increase their energy production and exports, while on the other hand these same politicians keep talking about energy independence.  “That is a confusing message for energy-producing nations,” Yergin says.

He is right, too.

A Saudi Prince, a Pulitzer Prize-winning author and me.  Some days (to coin a phrase) this job is a “gas.”

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Chris McGill Natural Gas Market Indicators

090430ngmi Natural Gas Market Indicators

Natural gas cash and prompt-month prices have been reasonably stable for the past month (about $3.50 per MMBtu). While analysts debate market expectations for the summer, what seems to be agreed upon by many are stubbornly solid domestic production, a strong underground storage position and an uptick in LNG imports on the supply-side along with an economy that is not yet ready to support a surge in large volume customer demand.

What makes the current situation more interesting is that it comes at a time when Congress is beginning the debate on energy policy and climate change – and what a debate. Whether you are reading the paper or listening to the radio, you can’t escape the energy discussions that point out the seemingly boundless wind and renewable opportunities. However, where is natural gas in the debate?

Expanding natural gas in home and business direct use applications, in transportation and even in power generation would significantly reduce the nation’s carbon footprint. Technologies for producing, delivering and using the fuel efficiently are here today – and are here now – with no heroic assumptions necessary. So where is reliable and secure natural gas in the national debate?

Visit this link to download the full Natural Gas Market Indicator. Topics covered include: Reported Prices, Weather, Working Gas in Underground Storage, Natural Gas Production, Rig Counts, Pipeline Imports and Exports, and LNG Markets.

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