Author Archives: Andrew Soto

Andrew Soto American Gas Association vs. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission

On January 22, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit issued an opinion holding that the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) failed to respond to the reasonable concerns of a dissenting commissioner when it revised the financial reporting forms interstate pipelines are required to file.  American Gas Association v. FERC, No. 08-1266 (D.C. Cir. decided Jan. 22, 2010). The court held that while FERC is not required to agree with arguments raised by a dissenting commissioner, it must, at a minimum, acknowledge and consider them, which FERC failed to do.  The court remanded the case back to FERC, noting that while FERC could again conclude that the burdens of additional reporting outweigh the benefits, it must do so in a reasoned decision that acknowledges the concerns raised by the dissenting commissioner.

As several have suggested, the significance of this ruling is far greater than the individual FERC proceeding involved and even greater than the case AGA had thought it was bringing to the court.  On its own, the court focused on FERC’s failure to address the arguments raised in dissent by then-commissioner, now-chairman Jon Wellinghoff.  This case will stand as precedent for all Federal agencies that, as a matter of administrative law, agencies must address the arguments raised by their dissenting commissioners.  Failure to do so will make their orders vulnerable to a court challenge.

A recent article in Inside FERC (“Court stance on FERC dissents seen as unworkable”) suggests that the ruling could adversely impact the decision-making process at FERC.  The article noted that, unlike courts, dissents in FERC cases are normally not circulated in advance.  Former FERC Chairman Joseph Kelliher was quoted as discussing the difficulty of requiring commissioners to supply a dissent in advance and the potential damage to comity among the commissioners of “gamesmanship” associated with the timing of supplying the dissent.

I take a contrary view.  I believe that the ruling will actually strengthen the decision-making process at FERC.  In the article, both Kelliher and former FERC general counsel William Sherman acknowledged that even though dissents are not normally circulated in advance, the views of a dissenting commissioner are generally known before the order is voted on.  Therefore, the ruling will simply require the majority to pay a little more attention to them.  During the deliberative process, the chairmen and staff will need to know when a commissioner will dissent and what the fundamental concerns are.  That can only help the process.  When I worked for former FERC Chairman Pat Wood, it was part of my job to know when a commissioner would dissent and what the dissent would say.  Pat told me he wanted to know because “I may agree with them.”

The concerns that have been raised regarding the potential for delay or gamesmanship can be easily addressed.  First, problems can be fixed on rehearing.  A large part of FERC’s vulnerability in the orders that led to the court’s decision stemmed from the fact that FERC waited until the rehearing order to even address AGA’s arguments, and it was the rehearing order to which Wellinghoff dissented.  FERC can reduce the impact of this ruling if it adequately addresses the arguments that are raised the first time around.  The dissent will have been revealed initially, which FERC can address on rehearing.

Second, even if the press of business prevents full consideration of all of the arguments initially and a dissent surfaces in a rehearing order, voluntary remand is available.  In any court case, FERC has an opportunity to seek a remand of the orders for which judicial review is sought in order to further consider them and even provide additional support and reasoning for its decisions.  The FERC solicitor can review the orders that have been taken up and, if there is a dissent, make a determination if the arguments were adequately addressed.  If additional reasoning is needed, FERC can seek a voluntary remand.

In the end, the court’s opinion should stand for the proposition that an agency must adequately justify its decisions, even when the challenge comes from one of its own commissioners.  The outcome of the court’s opinion should be better, more well-reasoned agency decisions.

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Andrew Soto Welcome John Norris to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission

Before it adjourned on December 24, 2009, the U.S. Senate confirmed John Norris to serve on the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC).  Norris, a former chairman of the Iowa Utilities Board, has recently been serving as chief of staff to Secretary of Agriculture Thomas Vilsack.  Norris fills the seat vacated by former FERC Chairman Joseph Kelliher.

The commission comprises five members who serve staggered, five-year terms.  No more than three commissioners may be of the same political party.  With Norris’ confirmation, FERC now has four commissioners:  Phil Moeller, a Republican, has been on the commission since 2006, and his term expires this year (June 30, 2010); Marc Spitzer, also a Republican, joined the commission shortly after Phil Moeller, and his term expires next year (June 30, 2011); John Norris, a Democrat who was recently confirmed, will serve a term ending June 30, 2012; and Jon Wellinghoff, also a Democrat, serves as chairman of the commission, and his term will end June 30, 2013.  There is an open seat with a term expiring June 30, 2014.  This seat was recently vacated by Suedeen Kelly, who had been on the commission since 2003 but declined President Obama’s invitation to serve for another five years.

Serving as a FERC commissioner is a demanding job – the workload is heavy, the policy calls are significant and the demands on one’s time from interested parties wanting to hear and express views are never ending.  There should be five commissioners to spread the work around.  While the commission can function with four and even three commissioners, the decision-making process is improved when different perspectives and opinions are brought to bear on the myriad policy calls that arise on a daily basis.  Having only four commissioners means that every decision must command a three-fourths majority, and although the issues with which FERC deals do not usually break along partisan lines, having two Republican commissioners and two Democratic commissioners only invites partisan considerations.

I look forward to John Norris’ term on the commission and wish him the best.  I hope that President Obama soon nominates someone of high quality to fill the open seat and that the Senate confirms him or her shortly thereafter.  To be truly effective the Commission should have a full complement of five commissioners.

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Andrew Soto How does natural gas pricing take into account increasing storage capacity?

The amount of natural gas that is stored in the nation’s underground natural gas storage fields has long had a significant impact on wholesale natural gas prices.  It seems logical that when the amount of gas in storage is relatively low, gas supplies available to meet demand are not as plentiful thus putting upward pressure on price.  Equally, when the amount of gas in storage is relatively high, gas supplies available to meet demand are more plentiful thus putting downward pressure on price.  Further, during the traditional summer injection season the need to fill storage in preparation for meeting peak needs during the winter can compete for available natural gas supplies with other demands such as residential, commercial and industrial uses as well as electric generation.  Therefore, relatively low levels of gas in storage during the injection season may put upward pressure on prices, and relatively high levels of gas in storage during the injection season may put downward pressure on prices.

The Energy Information Administration (“EIA”) tracks the amount of gas in storage and reports weekly estimates of working gas volumes held in underground storage facilities at the national and regional level every Thursday at 10:30 a.m. Eastern, on their website.  In addition to the estimate, EIA posts historical comparisons that market participants use in pricing wholesale natural gas.  EIA reports both the level of gas in storage compared to one year ago and the level of gas in storage compared to a band of storage levels over the past five-years, including a five-year average.  These comparisons suggest that when gas in storage is “relatively low” or “relatively high” for pricing purposes is “low” or “high” relative to history (last year or the last five years).

What is confusing about that comparison, however, is that the amount of gas able to be put into storage has increased over the years.  Since 2000, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (“FERC”) has authorized the construction and operation of over 785 Bcf of new storage capacity.  It seems to me that the amount of gas in storage compared to history should mean less for pricing purposes than the amount of gas in storage relative to being full or empty.

Recently, EIA published an update on Estimates of Peak Underground Working Gas Storage Capacity in the United States that showed estimated peak working gas capacity and estimated peak working gas capacity as a percentage of working gas design capacity.  These figures were compared to actual volumes in storage at the end of April 2008 and April 2009.  I think EIA is on the right track here.  It makes more sense to me to report the amount of gas in storage as compared to having a full tank so to speak than compared to where the amount was at some point in history.

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Andrew Soto Explaining dispatch in relation to energy

How simple would it be to use electricity from renewable resources rather than coal or nuclear?  The answer may lie partly in the dispatch characteristics of the generating facilities.  Because electricity cannot be economically stored on a system-wide basis, electricity supply must match demand at all times during the day.  So, when demand is low much of the electric generating capacity on the system is turned off.  As demand increases throughout the day, capacity is added to meet the demand.   In general, electric plants can be categorized by when they are turned on or “dispatched” to meet demand.  Some plants are baseload, i.e, they run all of the time – 24/7; some plants are intermediate, i.e., they run mostly during the day during significant demand hours; and some plants are peaking, i.e., they run only in the hours when they are needed the most.  The order in which generating plants are dispatched is largely a function of price – cheapest first.

However, the ability of a plant to turn on and turn off in response to changes in electricity demand can vary with the fuel used to generate the electricity.  For example, nuclear power plants take a long time to turn on and provide electricity to the grid, and the use of nuclear fuel is highly regulated.  Consequently, once a nuclear unit is on, it generally stays on until it has to be refueled or be brought down for maintenance.  So, nuclear plants are almost exclusively baseload plants.  Coal plants also have long ramp up times.  They are generally baseload or intermediate plants.  On the other hand, natural gas-fired generators have fairly short ramp up times and are often used as peaking plants.

Based on these dispatch characteristics, I doubt that renewable resources would end up displacing nuclear generation – not necessarily an undesirable outcome from a carbon standpoint.  However, intermittent renewable resources such as wind or solar may have a hard time displacing coal-fired generation unless they can show themselves to be good baseload or intermediate resources.  It may be the case that renewables will displace gas-fired generation because gas plants can more easily turn on and off in response to changes in the amount of electricity capable of being generated from wind or solar – a potentially undesirable outcome from a carbon standpoint.

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