Author Archives: Richard Meyer

Richard Meyer Natural Gas Market Indicators – October 30, 2020

Spot prices surged, and natural gas production rebounded ahead of Hurricane Zeta. September and October saw four storms lash the Gulf of Mexico, leading to supply constraints that increased natural gas spot prices throughout October. The increase in natural gas prices may have also triggered a rise in gas production, notably as the curtailments in the Northeast were potentially lifted. October also saw continuing gas injections into storage, sustaining a trend that is expected to result in over 4 trillion Bcf in storage by the end of the injection season.

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Richard Meyer Natural Gas Market Indicators – October 15, 2020

US natural gas inventories are forecasted by the Energy Information Administration to be at 4 trillion cubic feet by the end of October, a record high. The large amount of gas in storage, coupled with consistent warmer than average temperatures across most of the US, have served partially to stabilize the natural gas price volatility caused by the over-active Hurricane season. Thus, despite the uptick in demand as the heating season approaches, gas production and imports from Canada remain below average, and exports to Mexico continue to be higher than 2019 numbers.
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Richard Meyer Natural Gas Market Indicators – October 1, 2020

The tropical storm season continues to generate storms at an unprecedented pace, and temperatures continue to be warmer than average despite a recent decrease in temperatures. However, over the last month, the gas supply has not been significantly strained by the weather, which has been a factor in continued relatively low natural gas prices. Rig counts continue to be low following the sharp decrease in rig counts over the past year, but there is some evidence that the number of rigs began to stabilize in the early summer. Finally, as winter approaches, natural gas production and reserves are adequate to meet natural gas customers’ needs across the United States through the heating season.

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Richard Meyer Natural Gas Market Indicators – September 15, 2020

Warmer-than-normal temperatures once again contributed to increased consumption of natural gas for power generation this summer. In its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, the Energy Information Administration estimates that natural gas consumption from the electric power sector in August 2020 averaged 41.0 Bcf per day, the second-highest level of demand on record for August. The increase in usage contributed to a rise in natural gas spot prices of 53 cents to $2.30 per MMBtu in August 2020, the first monthly increase year-over-year since April 2019. In the meantime, the record-breaking hurricane season continues to put pressure on the natural gas supply and demand.

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