The supply build for the United States is strong. Increased dry gas production coupled with relatively cooler weather this summer have bolstered natural gas storage injections and strengthened underground stocks that were at decadal lows following last winter’s polar vortex.
Since the end of March, injections of natural gas into underground storage have been at a record pace and well above the five-year average. Even with the rapid rate of injections, the deep starting point that stocks began the injection season still means storage volumes are about 10 percent below last year. Despite this, production is strong too. October dry gas volumes are 5.3 Bcf per day higher than last year, an incredible eight percent gain.
With production and storage factors considered, the strong supply outlook is reflected on a relatively narrow NYMEX natural gas pricing band between $3.85 and $4.00 for the upcoming winter heating season.
Visit this link to download the full Natural Gas Market Indicators report. Topics covered in this week’s report include: Reported Prices, Weather, Working Gas in Underground Storage, Natural Gas Production, Shale Gas, Rig Counts, Pipeline Imports and Exports, and LNG Markets.